SOCIAL - Are Man City still favourites for the Premier League title ?
TRANSFERmarketWEB.com
When Tottenham beat them on the opening weekend of the Premier League season it was not only a result rich in the narrative but a victory widely regarded as deserved. Still, it would not have escaped Guardiola that his side had the better chances.
There was the attempt that Joao Cancelo dragged wide. The shot by Riyad Mahrez missed the target as he stumbled when well placed in the center of the penalty box. There was Torres' failure to divert the ball into the net from close range in the second half.
Steven Bergwijn did go close to doubling the advantage given to Tottenham by Heung-Min Son's strike but Opta's expected-goals model told another story. Spurs outscored City but their chances would, on average, yield 1.2 goals compared to City's 1.9 goals.
In other words, while the focus was on 'lacklustre' City, finishing was their biggest issue. "In general, we showed a good spirit and good intention and we arrived in the final third many times, but we could not be clinical enough," said Guardiola. "Son scores and we lose."
The conclusion that Kane's prospective club missed him more than his current one was too irresistible to ignore - and there was one statistic that highlighted that more neatly than any other. It helps to explain both his prowess and Manchester City's biggest concern.
Kane has scored 166 Premier League goals for Tottenham in the Premier League since making his debut in the competition in August 2012. That is more than any other player in that period. Impressive in itself. His expected-goals figure makes it even more so.
Based on the data collected from many thousands of attempts of the same type from the same location, we can say that, on average, a player with the opportunities that Kane had to score would have 133 Premier League goals to their name rather than 166 goals.
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Source: transfermarketweb.com
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