Belgium face Italy in decisive Nations League group finale

Belgium must overcome Italy at the Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels on Sunday 15 November 2026 to keep their hopes of reaching the Nations League quarter-finals alive.

The match, which forms part of the sixth and final round of Group A, begins at 19:45 GMT. Belgium are third in the group, while Italy are joint leaders alongside France. The Azzurri need only a draw to secure their place in the last eight, leaving Belgium with the more demanding task of collecting all three points.

The game will be shown on La chaine L’Equipe in France, Ziggo Sport 3 in the Netherlands, beIN Sports in MENA and Canal+ Sport in sub-Saharan Africa. In the United States, coverage is available on Prime Video, fuboTV and ViX, while Amazon Prime Video will broadcast the match in the United Kingdom. It will also be shown on beIN Sports in Australia, Rai 1 in Italy, and VTM, VTM GO and DAZN in Belgium.

Previous meetings

Italy have the stronger record from the 27 meetings between the teams since 1913. According to Transfermarkt statistics, the Squadra Azzurra have won 17 times, with five draws and five defeats, scoring 50 goals compared with Belgium’s 30.

Belgium did, however, claim a significant result in the reverse fixture in Rome in September 2026. Their 0-2 victory was their first competitive win against Italy since 1972.

Recent encounters have generally been closely contested, despite Italy’s long-standing advantage in the overall head-to-head record.

Form guide

Italy arrive in Brussels unbeaten in their past four matches, having recorded three wins and one draw. Their latest result was an emphatic 3-1 victory over France on Thursday, with Francesco Pio Esposito scoring twice and Davide Frattesi adding the other goal.

The result extended Italy’s run without defeat since their loss to Belgium in the first meeting. Their attacking output has also been strong, with 11 goals scored during the current run.

Belgium’s results have been less consistent, with three victories and two defeats in their last five games. Both losses came against France, by 0-1 and 4-1.

The Red Devils responded on Thursday with a 1-2 win away to Turkey, Kevin De Bruyne and Charles De Ketelaere scoring to revive their position going into the final group match.

Prediction

Italy’s confidence will be high after beating France, while Belgium’s victory in Turkey gives them renewed momentum. With the hosts required to win, the match could develop into an open contest.

Africafoot’s prediction is a 1-1 draw.

Listed odds for the fixture are 1.98 for a Belgium win, 3.40 for a draw and 2.95 for an Italy victory.